Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Betting Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lines

On Tuesday, the Yankees and the Astros will kick off their three-game series at the Yankee Stadium. It will be the first meeting between the teams since the 2019 ALCS. It was their last series before the Astros’ sign-stealing controversy. Due to the pandemic, the two didn’t meet at all in 2020, and the Astros are up for a harsh reception in the Bronx. In their last game, Houston missed the chance to sweep Tampa Bay as they lost the final game of the series 5-4. Still, they’ll be happy with recent performances, having won 8 out of the last 11 games. At the moment, the Astros are third in the AL West with a 15-13 record. The Yankees are coming to the series after having swept the Tigers over the weekend. Same as Houston, they also lost only 3 times in the last 11 outings. Their current record stands at 14-14.

It’s good enough for third in the AL East. The weather should be partly cloudy with 64% humidity and 51% cloud coverage. The winds are expected at 9 mph ESE.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Betting Odds & Line Movement

The Yankees opened as favorites at -120, but the odds have moved to -115 at most sportsbooks. The Astros are priced at +10o or +105 depending on a bookie. The oddsmakers have set the total at 8.5.

Notes On The Houston Astros

The Astros are coming to the game as the 5th best offensive team in the league. They’re averaging 4.93 runs per game and have the second-best run differential with 1.14. They did lose George Springer in the offseason but still feature five solid regular hitters, led by Yuli Gurriel. On the defensive end, they’ve allowed 3.79 runs (7th in the league) and 7.21 (12th) hits per game. In their last game, against Tampa Bay on Sunday, they blew a chance for a sweep after letting the 3-0 and 4-3 leads slip away.

Houston will start Zack Greinke (3.44 ERA) at the mound for the 7th time this season. The right-handed pitcher is 2-1 this season with a 1.145 WHIP, six walks, and 27 strikeouts during 36.2 innings of play. In his last start vs Seattle, Greinke threw in 4 innings and allowed 4 runs on 4 hits with 2 walks and 5 strikeouts, but didn’t factor in the decision. This will be his 13th career start against the Yankees and 16th appearance overall. So far, he’s 4-4 with a 5.05 ERA in those matchups.

Notes On The New York Yankees

Following only 3 losses in their last 3 series, the Yankees seem to be back on the right track after the horrid start to the season. They’re finally at .500 and will be confident as they go against the toughest opposition they’ve met recently. They still struggle on offense, though, ranking 25th in the league with 3.93 runs per game. However, they fare much better on defense. The Yankees have allowed only 3.43 runs per contest which puts them 2nd in the league. In their last game vs the Tigers, it was again their pitching that got them the win. They defeated Detroit 2-0 despite finishing the game with only 3 hits.

On Tuesday, Domingo German (4.05 ERA) will make his 5th start of the campaign. He’s 2-2 in over 20 innings so far. In his last start, German earned the win against Baltimore with 3 hits with 1 walk, and 6 strikeouts in 7 scoreless innings. He has 2 career starts and 4 appearances against the Astros. He’s 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA in those games.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Betting Prediction & Pick: Yankees -115

Both of the teams have built some momentum in the last 10 days after the inconsistent start to the season. The Yankees especially are starting to look like the powerhouse they were expected to be before the season. They also have a slight pitching edge. Greinke has traditionally struggled at the Yankee Stadium while German is coming off 2 straight wins. This and the home advantage are the main reasons to lean the Yankees’ way here.